Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at 8號卡牌屋店冠賽
decks
2
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
2-9-2
overall winrate
23.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
29.1%
avg ELO -8.7 per match
expected value
42.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1287
· median 1287
· range 1188–1386
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1243
Q3 1417
1542
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 45.2% | -3.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -20.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
